How to ride the trend with a simple Moving Average
Stocks are either trending up, trending down or rolling sideways, understanding the direction of the stock’s movement and applying the right indicators will help us to become more successful traders.
Let’s talk about an up trending stock, what indicator is more appropriate to use
I personally use moving averages on trending stocks they work the best for me in a rising stock price.
Let’s have a look below on the chart.
The setting I use is a 55 Day, 21 Day, 5 Day moving average.I find that we can ride a stocks climb all the way to the top and exit as it reverses or closes below the 55 Day Moving average.
In April 2009 we enter in November 2009 we exit with a nice gain.
In March 2010 we enter in May we exit with a nice gain.
In October 2011 we enter in June we exit with a nice gain.
In February 2012 we enter and are still in the trade as the price is still above the 55 Day Moving Average.
Now if you’re wondering about the big drop in price on the chart it’s a STOCK SPLIT why do I love stock split companies because when I first started trading them 12 years ago it’s like a self-fulfilling prophecy a good growth company with strong earnings will eventually be driven back to the original price…yes my ah ha moment if you watched it is repeating itself.
A stock trading at $77 a share is very expensive to buy 100 shares our investment is $7,700 but with an option we can control the same 100 shares for the next 2 years with only $1,000 deposit now that’s the power of leverage.
The strike or the agreed price we have chosen here is the 80 strike.
Let’s assume in the next 2 years the price goes back to the original price of $120 what is our call option worth well that’s easy to work out we realise the gain from $80 to $120 that’s $40 increase x 100 shares it’s worth $4,000. That’s a 300% return.
If we purchased the shares our return is 50% not a bad return we wouldn’t complain as an options trader I ask where else could I be using my money wiser.
In this example I have an extra $6,700 to invest somewhere else.
